Abstract:
With global warming at the rate of 10 mK/yr, it is important to at least characterize any trend in the AIRS data, which may impact the use of AIRS data for climate change research. We evaluated the stability of the AIRS v5 calibration for seven atmospheric window channels between 2002 and 2018 under tropical ocean clear conditions. Trends for the channels between 961, 1128 and 1231 cm-1 channels are typically +3 mK/yr; for 790 and 901 cm-1 the trend is 6 mK/yr, i.e. the observations are increasingly getting warmer than expected. The trends are day/night consistent. The trend for the 2508 and 2616 cm-1 channels is close to 10 mK/yr at night, but closer to 6 mK/yr during the day. On an absolute scale these trends are small, but not when viewed in the context of global warming at a 10 mK/yr rate. While the warming trends are consistent with increased scattering from the scan mirrors, which create an error in reading the Onboard Blackbody Calibration, the resulting changes in the gain are a factor of about five larger than observed changes in the gain. The effects of scattering due to scan mirror contamination are evident at extremely cold temperatures, but scattering does not produce the observed warming at warm temperatures. It is possible that much of the observed warming in the AIRS window channels is a geophysical effect related to the warming of the oceans, resulting in a shift in the diurnal cycle and skin effect correction. This requires more careful evaluation.
